Forecasting in high order fuzzy times series by using neural networks to define fuzzy relations

Küçük Resim Yok

Tarih

2009

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

Özet

A given observation in time series does not only depend on preceding one but also previous ones in general. Therefore, high order fuzzy time series approach might obtain better forecasts than does first order fuzzy time series approach. Defining fuzzy relation in high order fuzzy time series approach are more complicated than that in first order fuzzy time series approach. A new proposed approach, which uses feed forward neural networks to define fuzzy relation in high order fuzzy time series, is introduced in this paper. The new proposed approach is applied to well-known enrollment data for the University of Alabama and obtained results are compared with other methods proposed in the literature. It is found that the proposed method produces better forecasts than the other methods. (c) 2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Forecasting, Fuzzy relation, Fuzzy set, High order fuzzy time series, Neural networks

Kaynak

EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS

WoS Q Değeri

Q1

Scopus Q Değeri

Q1

Cilt

36

Sayı

3

Künye