Ant Colony Optimization based on multi-searching to estimate the natural gas demand: Case of Turkey

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dc.contributor.authorToksari, M. Duran
dc.contributor.authorToksari, Murat
dc.date.accessioned2019-08-01T13:38:39Z
dc.date.available2019-08-01T13:38:39Z
dc.date.issued2012
dc.departmentNiğde ÖHÜ
dc.description.abstractIn this paper we propose a new version of the Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) to predict the natural gas demand problem. This heuristic approach will estimate the Turkey's natural gas demand based on economic indicators. The well-known ACO is multi-agent systems in which the behavior of each ant is inspired by the foraging behavior of real ants to solve optimization problem. In this paper the proposed approach presents that the many ant colonies begin the searching from different random points. Ant Colony Optimization Natural Gas Demand Estimation (ACONGDE) model is developed using population, gross domestic product (GDP), import and export. All equations proposed here are linear and quadratic. Quadratic_ACONGDE provided better fit solution due to the fluctuations of the economic indicators. The ACONGDE model plans the natural gas demand of Turkey until 2025 for three scenarios. We also present an estimation of the natural gas demand for Central Anatolia Region of Turkey using population rates.
dc.description.sponsorshipErciyes University Scientific Research Project (EUSRP) [FBA09-1041]
dc.description.sponsorshipThis study is supported by Erciyes University Scientific Research Project (EUSRP, Project Number: FBA09-1041).
dc.identifier.doi10.1260/0144-5987.30.2.223
dc.identifier.endpage238
dc.identifier.issn0144-5987
dc.identifier.issue2
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-84860473958
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ2
dc.identifier.startpage223
dc.identifier.urihttps://dx.doi.org/10.1260/0144-5987.30.2.223
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11480/4639
dc.identifier.volume30
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000302921900005
dc.identifier.wosqualityN/A
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.institutionauthor[0-Belirlenecek]
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherMULTI-SCIENCE PUBL CO LTD
dc.relation.ispartofENERGY EXPLORATION & EXPLOITATION
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.subjectNatural gas demand
dc.subjectAnt Colony Optimization
dc.subjectEconomic indicators
dc.subjectCentral Anatolia Region
dc.subjectTurkey
dc.titleAnt Colony Optimization based on multi-searching to estimate the natural gas demand: Case of Turkey
dc.typeArticle

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