Analyzing land use and climate change impacts of Suğla water storage in Turkey

Küçük Resim Yok

Tarih

2024

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

Springer Wien

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

Özet

Large water masses affect the land use of their surroundings and change the regional climate. Many methods are used to determine changes in regional climate and land use. This study aims to investigate the impact of the Su & gbreve;la water storage site in Turkey on land use and climate before and after 2006, the year the site became operational. The effects of the Su & gbreve;la water storage site on the climate and land use of the region were investigated using trend analyses, Autoregressive Integrated Moving Averages (ARIMA) models, and remote sensing techniques. For these purposes, increasing or decreasing trends in the meteorological time series covering the years 1960-2020 obtained from four meteorological stations in this region were determined by trend analysis. ARIMA models, a time series estimation and forecasting method, were used to make predictions for the next 10-year period (2020-2030) for meteorological data. With remote sensing techniques, changes in land use were determined using Landsat satellite images from 1984, 1990, 2000, 2006, 2010, 2020 and 2022. As a result of the study, increasing and decreasing trends were detected in trend analysis and ARIMA forecasts at all stations. It was observed that the water bodies have increased by 1% since 2006, when the site started to hold water, and there has been a significant increase from forest and semi-natural areas to agricultural areas. These results show that the land use around the Su & gbreve;la water storage area has changed significantly, with agricultural areas expanding.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Trend Analysis, Radiometric Correction

Kaynak

Theoretical and Applied Climatology

WoS Q Değeri

N/A

Scopus Q Değeri

Q2

Cilt

155

Sayı

7

Künye