Üçüz Açık Ve Büyüme İlişkisi: Türkiye Örneği
Küçük Resim Yok
Tarih
2015
Yazarlar
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
Özet
Bir ekonomide makroekonomik denge, ülkenin iç ve dış ekonomik dengelerinin birbirine eşitlenmesi ile sağlanmaktadır. İç ekonomik denge, özel kesimin tasarruf-yatırım dengesi ve kamu kesiminin gelir-gider dengesinden (bütçe dengesi) oluşurken, dış ekonomik denge ise cari hesap dengesinden oluşmaktadır. Bu denklem gereği, iç ekonomik dengenin her ikisi de açık verirken cari dengenin de bunlar kadar açık vermesi beklenmektedir. Bu durum “üçüz açık” olarak ifade edilmektedir. Üçüz açık problemi, genellikle iç tasarrufları yetersiz iken potansiyelinin üzerinde büyümeye çalışan ekonomilerde ortaya çıktığı için, Türkiye’de üçüz açık ve büyüme arasındaki ilişkinin incelenmesi gerekmektedir. Bu çalışmada, Türkiye’de 2003Q2-2012Q4 döneminde “üçüz açık” hipotezinin her bir bileşenin (dengelerinin) büyümeye etkisi VAR modeli yoluyla incelenmekte ve bu dengelerin büyümeyi en fazla açıklayan değişkenler olduğu ortaya konulmaktadır.
Macroeconomic equilibrium in an economy is provided by equalizing of internal and external economic balances. While internal economic balance consists of saving-investment balance of the private sector and the income-expenditure balance of the public sector (budget balance), the external economic balance is comprised of the current account balance. According to this equation, when both internal economic balances gave def icits, it is required that the current account balance is expected to give a def icit up to them. This situation is def ined as "triple def icit". Triple def icits are generally a problem occurring in the economies trying to grow over the potential, in which there is an insuff icient domestic savings. Theref ore, it must have been examined the relationship between triple def icit and growth in Turkey. In this study, the eff ect of each component (balances) of the "triple def icit" hypothesis on growth are studied by VAR model during period of 2003Q2-2012Q4 in Turkey and it is f ound that these balances are the most explaining variables the growth.
Macroeconomic equilibrium in an economy is provided by equalizing of internal and external economic balances. While internal economic balance consists of saving-investment balance of the private sector and the income-expenditure balance of the public sector (budget balance), the external economic balance is comprised of the current account balance. According to this equation, when both internal economic balances gave def icits, it is required that the current account balance is expected to give a def icit up to them. This situation is def ined as "triple def icit". Triple def icits are generally a problem occurring in the economies trying to grow over the potential, in which there is an insuff icient domestic savings. Theref ore, it must have been examined the relationship between triple def icit and growth in Turkey. In this study, the eff ect of each component (balances) of the "triple def icit" hypothesis on growth are studied by VAR model during period of 2003Q2-2012Q4 in Turkey and it is f ound that these balances are the most explaining variables the growth.
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
İktisat, İşletme
Kaynak
Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi
WoS Q Değeri
N/A
Scopus Q Değeri
Cilt
10
Sayı
2
