Predicting the Natural Gas Demand Based on Economic Indicators: Case of Turkey
Küçük Resim Yok
Tarih
2010
Yazarlar
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
TAYLOR & FRANCIS INC
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
Özet
This article presents a heuristic approach to estimate Turkey's natural gas demand based on economic indicators. The proposed heuristic methods are based on simulated annealing, which is locating a good approximation to the global optimum of a given function in a large search space. An approach based on simulated annealing is first used to forecast natural gas demand. A simulated annealing natural gas demand estimation model uses economical indicators, such as gross domestic product, population, import, and export. Linear and quadratic forms of simulated annealing natural gas demand estimation are proposed and quadratic simulated annealing natural gas demand estimation provided a better fit solution. The simulating annealing natural gas demand estimation model predicts Turkey's natural gas demand until 2025.
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
economic indicators, natural gas demand, simulated annealing Turkey
Kaynak
ENERGY SOURCES PART A-RECOVERY UTILIZATION AND ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS
WoS Q Değeri
Q3
Scopus Q Değeri
Q2
Cilt
32
Sayı
6
