Predicting the Natural Gas Demand Based on Economic Indicators: Case of Turkey

Basit Öğe Kaydı
dc.contributor.authorToksari, M.
dc.date.accessioned2019-08-01T13:38:39Z
dc.date.available2019-08-01T13:38:39Z
dc.date.issued2010
dc.departmentNiğde ÖHÜ
dc.description.abstractThis article presents a heuristic approach to estimate Turkey's natural gas demand based on economic indicators. The proposed heuristic methods are based on simulated annealing, which is locating a good approximation to the global optimum of a given function in a large search space. An approach based on simulated annealing is first used to forecast natural gas demand. A simulated annealing natural gas demand estimation model uses economical indicators, such as gross domestic product, population, import, and export. Linear and quadratic forms of simulated annealing natural gas demand estimation are proposed and quadratic simulated annealing natural gas demand estimation provided a better fit solution. The simulating annealing natural gas demand estimation model predicts Turkey's natural gas demand until 2025.
dc.description.sponsorshipM. Duran Toksari; Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources of Turkey; Turkish Statistical Institute
dc.description.sponsorshipThe author is grateful for the support provided for the present work by M. Duran Toksari, the Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources of Turkey, and Turkish Statistical Institute. The author also highly appreciates the constructive comments of the reviewers.
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/15567030802578823
dc.identifier.endpage566
dc.identifier.issn1556-7036
dc.identifier.issue6
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-74549162111
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ2
dc.identifier.startpage559
dc.identifier.urihttps://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15567030802578823
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11480/4939
dc.identifier.volume32
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000274218500007
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ3
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.institutionauthorToksari, M.
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherTAYLOR & FRANCIS INC
dc.relation.ispartofENERGY SOURCES PART A-RECOVERY UTILIZATION AND ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.subjecteconomic indicators
dc.subjectnatural gas demand
dc.subjectsimulated annealing Turkey
dc.titlePredicting the Natural Gas Demand Based on Economic Indicators: Case of Turkey
dc.typeArticle

Dosyalar

Koleksiyon

WoS İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu
Scopus İndeksli Yayınlar Koleksiyonu